We said: Barnsley 3-1 Crawley Town
With Crawley having had an extended rest period ahead of this game, it remains to be seen whether it could work in their favour. Nevertheless, we are backing Barnsley to come through in relatively comfortable fashion, even if they concede to the struggling away side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.