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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Crawley Town |
48.77% ( 0.21) | 24.82% ( -0.03) | 26.41% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.11% ( -0) | 48.88% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% ( -0) | 70.98% ( 0) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% ( 0.09) | 20.08% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.69% ( 0.14) | 52.31% ( -0.14) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( -0.15) | 32.82% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.6% ( -0.16) | 69.39% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |