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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
37.06% ( -0.16) | 25.07% ( -0.07) | 37.86% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% ( 0.31) | 45.99% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.7% ( 0.29) | 68.29% ( -0.29) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% ( 0.05) | 24.38% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.21% ( 0.07) | 58.79% ( -0.07) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% ( 0.26) | 23.96% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.81% ( 0.38) | 58.19% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 37.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |