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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Birmingham logo

Charlton
1 - 0
Birmingham

Godden (54')
Ramsay (7'), Coventry (81'), Campbell (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Anderson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Birmingham City

After three straight defeats and a poor start against Bristol Rovers on Tuesday, we are expecting a response from Charlton at The Valley this weekend. That being said, Birmingham are in sensational form and should, on paper, be comfortable winners in the capital, although we believe that Blues will only manage a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
29.17% (-0.674 -0.67) 25.84% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 45% (0.63 0.63)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.523 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-0.503 -0.5)51.41% (0.504 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.442 -0.44)73.23% (0.444 0.44)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.748 -0.75)32.03% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.863 -0.86)68.5% (0.86399999999999 0.86)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.079999999999998 0.08)22.79% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.116 0.12)56.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 29.17%
    Birmingham City 44.99%
    Draw 25.84%
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.196 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.99%

How you voted: Charlton vs Birmingham

Charlton Athletic
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Birmingham City
77.8%
36
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Gillesphey (6'), Berry (15')
Khela (32')
Anderson (27'), Sanderson (53')
Sanderson (78')
Jul 15, 2020 6pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Pearce (35')
Bellingham (52')
Davis (82'), Dean (90'), Alvaro (97')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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