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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Birmingham logo

Rotherham
0 - 2
Birmingham


Tiehi (26'), Hungbo (77'), Raggett (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Iwata (14'), Stansfield (22')
Iwata (13'), Davies (14'), Cochrane (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Birmingham City

Having already defeated Huddersfield this season, Rotherham cannot be written off here. However, Blues are now building up a head of steam and we are backing them to battle their way to another success, even if it is through the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBirmingham City
30.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 43.96% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.012 -0.01)50.93% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)72.8% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.07% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)56.91% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 30.2%
    Birmingham City 43.96%
    Draw 25.83%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 43.96%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Birmingham

Rotherham United
16.7%
Draw
2.8%
Birmingham City
80.6%
36
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Rotherham
0-0
Birmingham
Hugill (51'), Humphreys (52'), Eaves (84'), Peltier (87')
Anderson (63'), Stansfield (76')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Birmingham
0-0
Rotherham
James (62')
Lindsay (61'), Peltier (71'), Bramall (86')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Birmingham
2-0
Rotherham
Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 42
Rotherham
0-1
Birmingham

Ihiekwe (57'), Wood (67')
Dean (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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