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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wigan logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Wigan

May (18'), Wright (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aasgaard (66')
Tickle (69'), Maloney (70'), Kerr (82'), McManaman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Wigan Athletic

Birmingham have dominated proceedings in their League One matches so far this season, although that level of control has not always led to an abundance of clear-cut chances. We expect that theme to continue against a stubborn Wigan side on Saturday afternoon, when Blues should eventually find a way to break down the Latics and claim maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
37.76% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05) 26.94% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 35.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)54.18% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.023 -0.02)75.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)27.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)63.4% (0.061 0.06)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.29% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.017000000000003 0.02)65.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.76%
    Wigan Athletic 35.29%
    Draw 26.94%
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 10% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.14% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wigan

Birmingham City
79.3%
Draw
13.8%
Wigan Athletic
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Wigan
1-1
Birmingham
Fletcher (59')
Bacuna (4')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
0-1
Wigan
Broadhead (82')
Keane (66'), Naylor (71')
Bennett (10')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Birmingham
1-1
Wigan
Jutkiewicz (2')
Roberts (71')
Powell (45')
Dunkley (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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