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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
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Charlton Athletic

Reading
2 - 0
Charlton

Savage (66'), Smith (76')
Mbengue (34'), Smith (77'), Dean (85'), Abretti (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Berry (20'), Godden (76'), Jones (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Reading
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 0-1 Charlton Athletic

While Reading's form has been up and down, they have demonstrated that they can pose a threat to teams if afforded time and space on the ball. Charlton meanwhile have a miserly defence and have proven that they do not need to have more possession or create more chances than their opponents to take all three points, and Saturday's game could prove to be yet another example of that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCharlton Athletic
38.54%25.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.7% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.45% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.55% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (0.02 0.02)71.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.95% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)26.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Reading 38.54%
    Charlton Athletic 35.62%
    Draw 25.84%
ReadingDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: Reading vs Charlton

Reading
14.3%
Draw
25.0%
Charlton Athletic
60.7%
28
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Reading
2-0
Charlton
Azeez (66', 76')
Savage (86')

Edun (64')
Dec 6, 2023 7pm
Second Round
Reading
1-1
Charlton
(Aggregate 1-1 | Reading win 4-2 on penalties)
Savage (81')
Carson (46')
May (42')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Charlton
4-0
Reading
Aneke (54'), Campbell (68'), May (74'), Leaburn (90+4')
Jul 24, 2021 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Reading
1-1
Charlton
Ejaria (38')
Ghandour (80')
Jul 11, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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