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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Reading logo

Burton Albion
3 - 2
Reading

Bennett (5'), Carayol (11'), Kamwa (42')
Bennett (75'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Wing (34'), Smith (59' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Reading

While the home side have struggled in this fixture recently, winning just one of the last six meetings between the two, with Reading's safety already guaranteed and Burton's potential safety on the line, we believe Burton will use the extra motivation to pick up a needed point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawReading
28.15% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.24% (0.0010000000000012 0) 47.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.18% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)67.53% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)29.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.15%
    Reading 47.6%
    Draw 24.24%
Burton AlbionDrawReading
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.15%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.21%
0-3 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 47.6%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Reading

Burton Albion
0.0%
Draw
22.2%
Reading
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Reading
0-0
Burton Albion
McIntyre (44')
Baah (45+12'), Hamer (50'), Seddon (66'), Powell (90+2')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Reading
Akins (51' pen.)
Turner (29'), Buxton (38'), McFadzean (86')
Dadi Bodvarsson (20', 68'), Gunter (57')
Moore (27'), Dadi Bodvarsson (68'), Ilori (71')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
May 7, 2017 12pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Reading
Turner (69'), Woodrow (72')
Irvine (77')
Mendes (3'), Obita (21'), Kermorgant (64'), Grabban (85')
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Reading
3-0
Burton Albion
Samuel (22'), Williams (29'), Brayford (77' og.)
Samuel (63'), McCleary (64'), McShane (93')

Turner (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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