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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Lincoln City

Reading
1 - 1
Lincoln

Bindon (83')
Wing (67'), Wing (90+4'), Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Draper (72')
(69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Lincoln City

Reading usually save their best form for home surroundings, but we think they may come off second-best against a Lincoln team that will have significant momentum behind them following a five-game winning run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawLincoln City
45.09% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 25.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)47.65% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06)69.85% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)21.17% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)54.03% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37%65.63% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.09%
    Lincoln City 29.88%
    Draw 25.03%
ReadingDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Reading vs Lincoln

Reading
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Lincoln City
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Lincoln
1-1
Reading
Abby (3' og.)
Duffy (38'), Jensen (41'), Hamilton (90+3')
Knibbs (56')
Abby (22'), Knibbs (75'), Yiadom (75')
Selles (23')
Jul 10, 2021 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Reading
1-0
Lincoln
Camara (71')
Jul 20, 2019 9am
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
1-0
Reading
Anderson (88')
Jul 16, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
4-1
Reading
Caton (1'), Muldoon (3'), Waterfall (49'), Wood (84')
Smith (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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