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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Lincoln City

Reading
1 - 1
Lincoln

Bindon (83')
Wing (67'), Wing (90+4'), Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Draper (72')
(69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Lincoln City

Reading usually save their best form for home surroundings, but we think they may come off second-best against a Lincoln team that will have significant momentum behind them following a five-game winning run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawLincoln City
45.09% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 25.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)47.65% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06)69.85% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)21.17% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)54.03% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37%65.63% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.09%
    Lincoln City 29.88%
    Draw 25.03%
ReadingDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Reading vs Lincoln

Reading
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Lincoln City
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Lincoln
1-1
Reading
Abby (3' og.)
Duffy (38'), Jensen (41'), Hamilton (90+3')
Knibbs (56')
Abby (22'), Knibbs (75'), Yiadom (75')
Selles (23')
Jul 10, 2021 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Reading
1-0
Lincoln
Camara (71')
Jul 20, 2019 9am
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
1-0
Reading
Anderson (88')
Jul 16, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
4-1
Reading
Caton (1'), Muldoon (3'), Waterfall (49'), Wood (84')
Smith (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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