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League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Reading logo

Bolton
5 - 2
Reading

Collins (11', 45+4' pen., 77'), Dadi Bodvarsson (49', 90+5')
Ogbeta (16'), Sheehan (53')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wing (40'), Mukairu (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Bolton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Northampton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Reading

Although Bolton have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, they tend to perform well on home turf, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to record a narrow victory in Monday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Reading win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
68.97% (-0.164 -0.16) 17.35% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 13.68% (0.098999999999998 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.61% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.66% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)33.34% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.88% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)55.12% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)8.76% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.9% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)30.1% (0.133 0.13)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (0.092999999999996 0.09)36.85% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.091000000000001 0.09)73.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 68.97%
    Reading 13.68%
    Draw 17.35%
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.73% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 68.97%
1-1 @ 7.85% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.35%
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 13.68%

How you voted: Bolton vs Reading

Bolton Wanderers
50.0%
Draw
28.1%
Reading
21.9%
32
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Reading
2-1
Bolton
Savage (77'), Vickers (86')
Ballard (30'), Yiadom (79'), Azeez (87'), Mbengue (87'), (90+7'), Savage (90+2')
Charles (20')
Santos (13'), Toal (16'), Williams (38'), Jerome (76'), Thomason (76')
Toal (90+4')
Jan 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-1
Reading
Hobbs (90')
Noone (35'), Taylor (58')
Oliveira (74' pen.)
Gunter (53'), Rinomhota (60'), Swift (63')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
0-1
Bolton

Blackett (25'), Kelly (65')
Wildschut (48')
Wheater (11')
Mar 6, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-1
Bolton
Barrow (32')
Barrow (33'), Edwards (64'), Evans (81')
Le Fondre (45')
Buckley (57'), Flanagan (89'), Henry (90')
Nov 21, 2017 8pm
Bolton
2-2
Reading
Burke (18'), Pratley (23')
Robinson (14'), Madine (80')
Moore (76'), Bacuna (83' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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