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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
39.71% ( -0.12) | 25.37% ( -0.06) | 34.92% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.46% ( 0.31) | 47.54% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% ( 0.29) | 69.74% ( -0.28) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% ( 0.08) | 23.68% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( 0.11) | 57.8% ( -0.1) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% ( 0.26) | 26.32% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% ( 0.35) | 61.45% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |