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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
48.86% ( -2.19) | 22.78% ( 0.35) | 28.35% ( 1.83) |
Both teams to score 62.3% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.74% ( -0.27) | 38.25% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( -0.28) | 60.53% ( 0.27) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( -0.86) | 15.95% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.76% ( -1.6) | 45.23% ( 1.59) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( 1.12) | 25.87% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( 1.5) | 60.85% ( -1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |