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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (24')
Thomason (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bradbury (45'), Clarke (46'), Harrop (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Cheltenham Town

 Saturday's test will certainly not be an easy one for Bolton, with Cheltenham Town looking a completely new side and marching towards safety under Clarke, but the hosts do still boast far more quality throughout their squad and should have what it takes to get over the line on home turf and make it five straight three-point hauls in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
64.95% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01) 19.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 15.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (-0.067 -0.07)40.2% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)62.57% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)11.64% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)36.67% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)38.86% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.95%
    Cheltenham Town 15.46%
    Draw 19.59%
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 64.95%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.46%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cheltenham

Bolton Wanderers
85.1%
Draw
6.4%
Cheltenham Town
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cheltenham
0-3
Bolton

Davies (29'), Smith (39')
Charles (15', 33'), Smith (30' og.)
Ross Evatt (30'), Adeboyejo (57')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-0
Cheltenham
Dempsey (80')
> Preview
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Bolton
Broom (87')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cheltenham
1-2
Bolton
Ramsey (89')
Lloyd (52'), Bonds (72')
Sadlier (57'), Bakayoko (76' pen.)
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
2-2
Cheltenham
Amaechi (26'), Kachunga (58')
Thomason (30')
May (14', 45+4')
Crowley (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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