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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Bowie (66' pen.)
Willis (53'), Simpson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (26'), Freestone (66'), Long (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Northampton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Reading
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-0 Cheltenham Town

 These are two teams in search of points for very different reasons, and that should lead to an interesting fixture to start the year. However, the quality of Northampton Town is likely going to be too much in this one, and should lead to them taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCheltenham Town
48.02% (-0.291 -0.29) 25.54% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 26.43% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.169 -0.17)51.8% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.15 -0.15)73.56% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)21.58% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-0.304 -0.3)54.67% (0.309 0.31)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (0.084000000000003 0.08)34.36% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (0.09 0.09)71.06% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.01%
    Cheltenham Town 26.43%
    Draw 25.53%
Northampton TownDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 48.01%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.072 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Cheltenham
0-1
Northampton

Freestone (82')
Hoskins (88')
Bowie (14'), Guthrie (64')
Jun 22, 2020 8pm
Cheltenham
0-3
Northampton
> Match Report
Jun 18, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
0-2
Cheltenham
> Match Report
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
2-1
Northampton
Broom (19'), Varney (85')
Boyle (30'), Varney (87')
Watson (3')
Harriman (33'), Lines (63'), Wharton (77'), Morton (84')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-1
Cheltenham
Turnbull (38')
Turnbull (2'), Hoskins (14')
Thomas (3' pen.)
Greaves (55'), Sheaf (58'), Addai (95')
Addai (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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