League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 1Reading
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-3 Derby
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
We said: Derby County 2-0 Reading
Derby would have certainly taken confidence from their last two successful outings, and we think that they will continue to build momentum by claiming all three points in Tuesday's midweek fixture against an inconsistent Reading team. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Reading |
59.58% ( -0.13) | 21.57% ( -0.02) | 18.85% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
