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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Cambridge United

Lincoln
6 - 0
Cambridge

Moylan (3', 25'), Taylor (48', 74'), Eyoma (85'), Duffy (86')
Duffy (90+1'), Taylor (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Andrew (80'), Brophy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Cambridge United

 Lincoln are charging towards the playoffs, with the Imps in excellent form, and we are expecting them to pick up another three points on Tuesday evening against a Cambridge side that have lost 10 of their 17 away league matches during the 2023-24 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCambridge United
52.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 26.11% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.64% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.091999999999999 0.09)58.08% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.073 0.07)78.75% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (0.055000000000007 0.06)22.21% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.080999999999996 0.08)55.63% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (0.044999999999995 0.04)42.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (0.038 0.04)78.96% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 52.56%
    Cambridge United 21.32%
    Draw 26.11%
Lincoln CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 21.32%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Cambridge

Lincoln City
88.1%
Draw
4.8%
Cambridge United
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Cambridge
0-3
Lincoln

Ahadme (9'), Cousins (15')
Mandroiu (16' pen.), Duffy (32'), Vale (85')
Vale (77'), Mitchell (88')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Lincoln
0-0
Cambridge
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Cambridge
2-0
Lincoln
Ironside (24', 27')

O'Connor (86')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Lincoln
0-1
Cambridge
Ironside (90+1')
Brophy (71')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Cambridge
1-5
Lincoln
Ironside (59')
Williams (36'), Digby (72'), Knibbs (82')
Adelakun (1'), McGrandles (16'), Scully (24', 72'), Fiorini (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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