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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Barnsley

Cooper Love (88')
Vancooten (68'), Akoto (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connell (36'), Humphrys (90')
Earl (3'), Durand de Gevigney (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Man Utd 7-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Barnsley

While recent results suggest that Barnsley might have taken a hit to their confidence after what was a solid enough start to the season, Robinson will be hoping for a response from his players as they look to keep up with the leading pack in League One. Burton have a proclivity for drawing games at present, but with a few key players still absent for the Brewers, we expect the away side to narrowly take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
45.59% (-0.105 -0.1) 24.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (0.086999999999996 0.09)47.65% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.081 0.08)69.84% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.012 -0.01)20.94% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)53.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (0.123 0.12)29.91% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (0.15 0.15)66.01% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 45.59%
    Barnsley 29.43%
    Draw 24.97%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Burton Albion
1-3
Barnsley
Powell (37')
McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (21', 68')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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