Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
-4.32) 
0.75) 
