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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 0
Charlton

Crama (59')
Woods (22'), Aitchison (73'), Niskanen (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gillesphey (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Exeter City 2-2 Charlton Athletic

Exeter will fancy their chances of breaching Charlton's backline this weekend as they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 11 home league matches - the Grecians have not enjoyed a longer run since October 2019 (13). Charlton, meanwhile, have found the net in 11 of their last 14 away league games and although they are missing a few players due to injury, we can see Jones's side claiming at least a share of the spoils in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
43.91% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 25.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 30.82% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (0.131 0.13)48.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (0.119 0.12)70.38% (-0.123 -0.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.030999999999999 0.03)55.22% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.13 0.13)29.23% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (0.159 0.16)65.19% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.91%
    Charlton Athletic 30.82%
    Draw 25.26%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
27.3%
Draw
33.3%
Charlton Athletic
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Exeter
1-1
Charlton
Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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