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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 1
Charlton

Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Although they are inching further away from danger, Exeter's home record remains relatively weak, so in-form Charlton can take three points and leapfrog their hosts in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
36.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 25.65% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 38.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.63% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)70.75% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.03% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)61.06% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)25.06% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)59.74% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.31%
    Charlton Athletic 38.04%
    Draw 25.65%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 38.04%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
18.8%
Draw
15.6%
Charlton Athletic
65.6%
32
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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