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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 2
Charlton

Mitchell (31')
Stansfield (45+3'), Kite (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Rak-Sakyi (9'), Ness (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Only four points separates these two sides coming into this clash, so we can see this being a closely-fought contest. Charlton got the better of Exeter in the reverse fixture back in October, but the Addicks' away form leaves a lot to be desired, so we think the spoils will be shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
46.72%25.09%28.2% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 54.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)48.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08%70.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07%20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.78%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 46.72%
    Charlton Athletic 28.2%
    Draw 25.08%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.72%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
O'Connell (90+5')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Feb 19, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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