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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
55.63% ( -0.08) | 22.83% ( -0.06) | 21.55% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( 0.42) | 45.02% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( 0.4) | 67.38% ( -0.4) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% ( 0.12) | 16.03% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.62% ( 0.21) | 45.38% ( -0.21) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% ( 0.37) | 34.96% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% ( 0.39) | 71.71% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |