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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Charlton

Bodin (20'), Taylor (24'), O'Donkor (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leaburn (67')
Chin (45'), Leaburn (66'), Payne (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Oxford United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Both teams are struggling for form in the league, but the introduction of Holden may have a positive effect on the visitors after an opening draw, and we see them being boosted and ending their winless run on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
55.63% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 22.83% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 21.55% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.386 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (0.416 0.42)45.02% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (0.39700000000001 0.4)67.38% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (0.11800000000001 0.12)16.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62% (0.214 0.21)45.38% (-0.214 -0.21)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.369 0.37)34.96% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.386 0.39)71.71% (-0.386 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 55.63%
    Charlton Athletic 21.55%
    Draw 22.82%
Oxford UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.63%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.55%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Charlton

Oxford United
39.1%
Draw
21.7%
Charlton Athletic
39.1%
23
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
0-4
Oxford Utd

Leko (10'), Jaiyesimi (23'), Purrington (24'), Inniss (63'), Morgan (77'), Famewo (82')
Clare (62')
Taylor (21', 28'), Baldock (54'), Brannagan (83')
Moore (29'), Sykes (53'), Taylor (63'), Brown (72')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Charlton
Williams (23'), Brannagan (31')
Rodriguez (37'), Taylor (89')
Washington (36' pen.)
Stockley (67'), Famewo (87')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Charlton
2-0
Oxford Utd
Washington (32'), Shinnie (45+1')
Watson (47'), Inniss (61'), Gunter (73')
Inniss (66')

Rodriguez (25'), Taylor (62'), Moore (87'), Kelly (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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