Northampton1 - 1Charlton
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Charlton Athletic
Charlton would have taken a lot of confidence from Tuesday's win over Derby, but we think that they may have to settle for a draw against a Northampton side that has lost just one of their last seven home league matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
41.89% ( -0.03) | 24.99% ( 0) | 33.11% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% ( -0.03) | 46.24% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.46% ( -0.02) | 68.53% ( 0.02) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( -0.03) | 22.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( -0.04) | 55.37% ( 0.04) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( 0) | 26.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.93% ( 0) | 62.06% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.11% |