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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Northampton
1 - 1
Charlton

Appere (80')
Simpson (33'), Brough (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (4')
Coventry (71'), Edmonds-Green (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Charlton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Charlton would have taken a lot of confidence from Tuesday's win over Derby, but we think that they may have to settle for a draw against a Northampton side that has lost just one of their last seven home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
41.89% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 24.99% (0.004999999999999 0) 33.11% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)46.24% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.023 -0.02)68.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.04% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.37% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.78% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)62.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 41.89%
    Charlton Athletic 33.11%
    Draw 24.99%
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.89%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.11%

How you voted: Northampton vs Charlton

Northampton Town
Draw
Charlton Athletic
Northampton Town
0.0%
Draw
26.3%
Charlton Athletic
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Charlton
2-3
Northampton
McGowan (20' og.), Watson (45+3')
Edun (32'), Ladapo (58'), Bakinson (69'), Coventry (71')
Edun (86')
Simpson (7'), Hoskins (22'), Appere (90+7')
Hoskins (25'), Bowie (89')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Charlton
2-1
Northampton
Washington (64' pen., 85')
Morgan (44'), Watson (82'), Aneke (90+5')
Jones (90+3')
Kioso (40'), Edmondson (70'), Horsfall (90+5')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Northampton
0-2
Charlton

Racic (11'), Harriman (65'), Hoskins (81')
Pratley (54'), Sowerby (59' og.)
Forster-Caskey (82')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-4
Charlton

Moloney (34'), McWilliams (43'), Crooks (87'), Pereira (90')
Reeves (14'), Fosu (19', 51'), Magennis (79')
Pearce (71')
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Charlton
4-1
Northampton
Magennis (2'), Holmes (61'), Forster-Caskey (94', 97')
Forster-Caskey (75'), Pearce (92')
Richards (79')
Pierre (49'), Crooks (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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