FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter5 - 3Barnet
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Exeter City 3-1 Barnet
Exeter competes two divisions higher than their visitors, and while Barnet are likely to give the hosts a difficult test, we expect the hosts to eventually secure the win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Barnet |
46.83% ( -0.01) | 24.13% ( 0) | 29.03% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
