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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Reading logo

Exeter
1 - 2
Reading

Niskanen (58')
Woods (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wareham (1'), Craig (36')
Mbengue (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Reading

While Reading have been the dominant side in this fixture over the years, their away record this season has been very poor, while Exeter have been in sensational form and are gunning for a fifth straight home win. We are expecting an entertaining matchup here but fancy they hosts to edge the result in a close contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawReading
49.7% (0.842 0.84) 24.37% (-0.12 -0.12) 25.93% (-0.725 -0.72)
Both teams to score 54.71% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)47.33% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)69.55% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.327 0.33)19.08% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (0.544 0.54)50.69% (-0.548 -0.55)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.59299999999999 -0.59)32.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (-0.671 -0.67)68.9% (0.667 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 49.7%
    Reading 25.93%
    Draw 24.37%
Exeter CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Reading

Exeter City
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Reading
3-2
Exeter
Knibbs (9'), Hartridge (45+2' og.), Azeez (77')
Craig (42'), Dorsett (81')
Jules (18'), Rankine (68')
Sep 19, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
0-9
Reading

Stanford Neubronner Daniels (49')
McIntyre (3'), Jules (32' og.), Mukairu (56', 60'), Ballard (67', 90+6'), Elliott (79'), Harris (85'), Vickers (90')
McIntyre (47')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
2-1
Reading
Aimson (34'), Cole (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Jules (44'), Cole (90+3')
Knibbs (45+3')
Azeez (24'), Mbengue (36'), Carson (56'), Abby (89')
Jul 15, 2014 9.20pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
0-1
Reading
Edwards (9')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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