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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Burton Albion

Reading
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Campbell (23', 42'), Smith (82')
Ehibhaimha (50'), Savage (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orsi (84')
Willis (41'), Watt (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Burton Albion

Reading have some momentum courtesy of their last triumph and will back themselves to see off the threat of a struggling Burton side. We fully expect the home side to collect maximum points in front of their fans for the second game running. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
47.14% (-3.87 -3.87) 24.63% (0.454 0.45) 28.23% (3.419 3.42)
Both teams to score 55.76% (1.531 1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.62 0.62)46.83% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.577 0.58)69.08% (-0.57300000000001 -0.57)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-1.325 -1.33)19.94% (1.329 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-2.183 -2.18)52.09% (2.187 2.19)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (3.018 3.02)30.35% (-3.014 -3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (3.452 3.45)66.54% (-3.448 -3.45)
Score Analysis
    Reading 47.14%
    Burton Albion 28.23%
    Draw 24.63%
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.683 -0.68)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.91 -0.91)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.691 -0.69)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.363 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.305 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.399 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.647 0.65)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.561 0.56)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.455 0.46)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.288 0.29)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.341 0.34)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Reading vs Burton Albion

Reading
72.7%
Draw
15.2%
Burton Albion
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
3-2
Reading
Bennett (5'), Carayol (11'), Kamwa (42')
Bennett (75'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
Wing (34'), Smith (59' pen.)
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Reading
0-0
Burton Albion
McIntyre (44')
Baah (45+12'), Hamer (50'), Seddon (66'), Powell (90+2')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Reading
Akins (51' pen.)
Turner (29'), Buxton (38'), McFadzean (86')
Dadi Bodvarsson (20', 68'), Gunter (57')
Moore (27'), Dadi Bodvarsson (68'), Ilori (71')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
May 7, 2017 12pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Reading
Turner (69'), Woodrow (72')
Irvine (77')
Mendes (3'), Obita (21'), Kermorgant (64'), Grabban (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Reading199463028231
7Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
8Barnsley208662926330
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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