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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Exeter City

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-1)
Doyle (9'), Magennis (65')
Sweeney (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 0-1 Exeter City

Shrewsbury were involved in a goal-laden contest at Crawley on the weekend, but we do not expect that to become a theme for the struggling Shrews. Exeter have been defensively solid over recent weeks and will be confident of recording another clean sheet and three points in Shropshire on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
21.69% (0.349 0.35) 23.87% (0.412 0.41) 54.44% (-0.761 -0.76)
Both teams to score 51.48% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (-1.311 -1.31)49.27% (1.31 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-1.194 -1.19)71.33% (1.193 1.19)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (-0.397 -0.4)37.22% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.395 -0.4)74% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (-0.761 -0.76)17.99% (0.76 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (-1.322 -1.32)48.85% (1.321 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 21.69%
    Exeter City 54.43%
    Draw 23.87%
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.279 0.28)
2-1 @ 5.61% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.27% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.351 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 9.85% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.63% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 54.43%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Exeter

Shrewsbury Town
22.4%
Draw
15.9%
Exeter City
61.7%
107
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
0-3
Exeter

Sraha (5'), Bayliss (42'), Benning (42')
Shipley (6')
Aimson (33'), Harris (41'), Aitchison (45+5')
Harper (27'), Cole (29'), Eisa (90+3')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
0-0
Shrewsbury
Sweeney (50'), Cole (69')
Shipley (18')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Shrewsbury
3-2
Exeter
Pennington (22'), Bayliss (34'), Dunkley (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Grounds (20')
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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