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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Cambridge United |
60.58% ( 0.02) | 22.34% ( -0.03) | 17.09% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.78% ( 0.11) | 49.22% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.72% ( 0.1) | 71.28% ( -0.1) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.19% ( 0.05) | 15.81% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.03% ( 0.08) | 44.97% ( -0.09) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.74% ( 0.07) | 42.26% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.34% ( 0.06) | 78.66% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
4 | Barnsley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
18 | Blackpool | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |