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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Cardiff

Latte Lath (12')
Doak (75'), Barlaser (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chambers (21')
O'Dowda (30'), Rinomhota (76'), Robertson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Middlesbrough are in the midst of an injury crisis, they have been difficult to beat in recent weeks, and it is hard to see them losing against Cardiff. Additionally, the visitors' record on the road is poor, and it would not be surprising if their defensive frailty was once again exposed on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
55.79% (-0.261 -0.26) 23.41% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 20.81% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.014000000000003 0.01)48.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)17.18% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (-0.156 -0.16)47.44% (0.155 0.16)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (0.218 0.22)37.61% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (0.211 0.21)74.39% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 55.78%
    Cardiff City 20.81%
    Draw 23.41%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 20.81%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
83.3%
Draw
12.5%
Cardiff City
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Siopis (5'), Daland (39')
Clarke (55'), Ramsey (82' og.)
Morris (69')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-4
Middlesbrough
Bowler (90+1')
Clarke (45'), Azaz (49'), Latte Lath (56'), Gilbert (60')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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