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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Cardiff
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Kaba (25')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Lenihan (72'), Archer (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Cardiff are still searching for their maiden victory under Lamouchi and now face a tricky test against an in-form Middlesbrough side. Boro will be looking to cement their place in the playoffs this weekend and will fancy their chances against a Cardiff side yet to get firing under their new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.71% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 26.76% (0.032 0.03) 38.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (-0.128 -0.13)53.48% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (-0.11 -0.11)75% (0.113 0.11)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)29.31% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)65.27% (0.101 0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)27.04% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)62.4% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.71%
    Middlesbrough 38.53%
    Draw 26.76%
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.53%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Middlesbrough

Cardiff City
8.9%
Draw
11.1%
Middlesbrough
80.0%
45
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
McGree (81')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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