MX23RW : Thursday, January 16 18:55:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Burnley logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Burnley


Edmundson (2')
FT

Cullen (54'), Roberts (83'), Koleosho (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-3 Sheff Weds
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-2 Burnley
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Burnley

Burnley had to be content with a point when the two sides face off earlier this month, and while they may have won their last three matches, we think that the Clarets may have to settle for another draw when they face a Boro side that have seen three of their previous five matches finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBurnley
46.56% (-0.326 -0.33) 26.27% (0.11 0.11) 27.17% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (-0.294 -0.29)54.18% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (-0.248 -0.25)75.59% (0.25 0.25)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.276 -0.28)23.25% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.406 -0.41)57.16% (0.409 0.41)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)35.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (0.018999999999998 0.02)71.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 46.56%
    Burnley 27.17%
    Draw 26.27%
MiddlesbroughDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.56%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.17%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Burnley

Middlesbrough
35.9%
Draw
25.6%
Burnley
38.5%
78
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Burnley
1-1
Middlesbrough
Roberts (37')
Mejbri (90+3')
Dijksteel (13')
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
Akpom (48' pen.)
Barnes (12'), Roberts (66')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burnley
3-1
Middlesbrough
Benson (60', 67'), Howson (72' og.)
Watmore (49')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gray (80')
Boyd (21'), Mee (42'), Flanagan (54'), Ward (66'), Gray (73'), Hendrick (85')

de Roon (2'), Ramirez (31'), Barragan (45'), Da Silva (80'), Negredo (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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