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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
67.48% ( 0.02) | 18.8% ( -0.01) | 13.72% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.68% ( 0.01) | 40.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.31% ( 0.01) | 62.69% ( -0) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89% ( 0.01) | 11% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.72% ( 0.02) | 35.28% ( -0.01) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.67% ( -0.01) | 41.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.15% ( -0.01) | 77.85% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 11.07% 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 67.47% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.8% | 0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 13.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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