MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:16:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
PSV

Ajax
1 - 2
PSV

Lucca (83')
Alvarez (34'), Berghuis (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
de Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
Obispo (34'), de Jong (63'), Til (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Rangers 1-3 Ajax
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 PSV
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Ajax 3-2 PSV Eindhoven

 Sunday sees a clash between the Eredivisie's title contenders and most prolific attacks in what promises to be an exciting watch for neutrals and supporters alike. Only one point separates the sides heading into the weekend, but considering that PSV had lost three of their six away league matches so far this season, it is hard to back against Ajax for all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.56%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.65%) and 3-2 (5.97%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (4.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
59.56% (-0.279 -0.28) 17.23% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 23.2% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 78.45% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
84.01% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)15.98% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
67.85% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)32.14% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.11% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)5.88% (0.056 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.45% (-0.155 -0.16)22.55% (0.157 0.16)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.107 0.11)16.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.191 0.19)46.48% (-0.189 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 59.56%
    PSV Eindhoven 23.2%
    Draw 17.23%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 4.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-3 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 2.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-3 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
6-1 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-2 @ 1.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 5.01%
Total : 59.56%
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.022 0.02)
1-1 @ 4.97% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 3.57% (0.013 0.01)
4-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.23%
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.78% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 23.2%

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
68.2%
Draw
15.2%
PSV Eindhoven
16.7%
66
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
Apr 17, 2022 5pm
PSV
2-1
Ajax
Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
PSV
1-2
Ajax
Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')
Oct 24, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
5-0
PSV
Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')
Feb 28, 2021 1.30pm
PSV
1-1
Ajax
Zahavi (39')
Boscagli (54'), Zahavi (87'), Malen (89'), Dumfries (90+1'), Teze (90+4')
Tadic (90+2' pen.)
Alvarez (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!