Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 5-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 FC Utrecht
PSV are currently averaging four goals per home league game this term and it is hard to see them failing to find the back of the net here. We expect the hosts to have too much about themselves for their visitors, who should also get on the scoresheet. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
66.2% ( 3.24) | 17.49% ( -0.45) | 16.31% ( -2.79) |
| Both teams to score 64.36% ( -4.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
