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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
21.49% | 21.74% | 56.78% |
Both teams to score 58.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.82% | 40.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.45% | 62.54% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.72% | 32.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.22% | 68.78% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86% | 13.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.49% | 41.51% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.68% 1-0 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.49% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 8.74% 1-3 @ 6.48% 0-3 @ 5.73% 2-3 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 3.18% 0-4 @ 2.82% 2-4 @ 1.8% 1-5 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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