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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.44%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 2.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 4-0 (11.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
89.44% | 7.8% | 2.76% |
Both teams to score 36.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.81% | 28.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.99% | 49.01% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.13% | 3.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.54% | 16.46% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
37.52% | 62.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.13% | 91.87% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
3-0 @ 13.88% 2-0 @ 12.8% 4-0 @ 11.29% 1-0 @ 7.87% 5-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 6.53% 2-1 @ 6.02% 4-1 @ 5.31% 6-0 @ 3.99% 5-1 @ 3.46% 6-1 @ 1.88% 7-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 4.43% Total : 89.43% | 1-1 @ 3.7% 0-0 @ 2.42% 2-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.27% Total : 7.8% | 0-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.62% Total : 2.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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