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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
31.01% | 24.25% | 44.73% |
Both teams to score 58.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% | 43.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% | 66.03% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% | 26.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% | 62.13% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% | 19.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.34% | 51.65% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 7.43% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.01% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-1 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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