Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.08%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.