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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
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Heracles Almelo
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NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Excelsior

FC Twente
4 - 0
SBV Excelsior

Cleonise (1'), Tzolis (8'), Cerny (62', 90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Twente 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Despite boasting a poor record in the recent editions of this fixture, Twente possess a significantly better squad compared to their opponents and we are tipping them to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
61.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07) 20.8% (0.00099999999999767 0) 17.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.113 -0.11)41.39% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.117 -0.12)63.78% (0.119 0.12)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)39.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.15 -0.15)36.74% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.48% (-0.152 -0.15)73.53% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 61.39%
    SBV Excelsior 17.81%
    Draw 20.8%
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.8%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: FC Twente vs SBV Excelsior

FC Twente
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
SBV Excelsior
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2017 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
SBV Excelsior
Boere (2')
Cuevas (38'), Lam (87')
Faik (41'), Massop (74'), Karami (80')
Caenepeel (84')
Feb 12, 2017 11.30am
Aug 6, 2016 6.45pm
FC Twente
1-2
SBV Excelsior
Oosterwijk (82')
Trajkovski (83')
Vermeulen (13'), Hasselbaink (61')
Koolwijk (17'), Kuipers (54'), Bruins (87')
Apr 20, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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