Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
