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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
24.37% ( 0.01) | 21.4% ( 0.03) | 54.23% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 63.39% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.86% ( -0.12) | 35.14% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.85% ( -0.13) | 57.14% ( 0.13) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.93% ( -0.05) | 27.06% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.56% ( -0.06) | 62.44% ( 0.06) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.91% ( -0.05) | 13.09% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.29% ( -0.11) | 39.71% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 24.37% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |