Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Nacional win it is 1-0 (5.27%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Braga |
18.99% ( -0.33) | 21.7% ( -0.05) | 59.31% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.46% ( -0.27) | 43.54% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.06% ( -0.27) | 65.93% ( 0.27) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% ( -0.52) | 36.71% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.5% ( -0.52) | 73.5% ( 0.52) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( 0.03) | 14.32% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.85% ( 0.06) | 42.14% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 18.99% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 59.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 15 |
2 | Porto | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Benfica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Braga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
9 | AVS | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 5 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |