MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 00:57:04| >> :60:426:426:
Nacional
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 12, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Braga

Nacional
0 - 5
Braga


Vieira (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Racic (25', 53' pen.), Pizzi (43'), Banza (76' pen., 90+1')
Racic (47'), Pizzi (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Nacional and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-5 Nacional
Thursday, February 9 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Braga

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Estoril
Saturday, April 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Braga

 Having conceded nine goals without scoring across their last three matches, Nacional look destined to struggle against Braga, who should secure a fifth victory in six outings to put one foot in the Taca de Portugal final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBraga
21.04% (0.804 0.8) 22.8% (0.271 0.27) 56.16% (-1.079 -1.08)
Both teams to score 53.95% (0.351 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.46% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)45.54% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (-0.131 -0.13)67.87% (0.128 0.13)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.73 0.73)35.75% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.743 0.74)72.52% (-0.745 -0.75)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)16.03% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62% (-0.765 -0.77)45.38% (0.76 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 21.04%
    Braga 56.16%
    Draw 22.8%
NacionalDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.04%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.8%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.6% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.68% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 56.16%

How you voted: Nacional vs Braga

Nacional
15.9%
Draw
11.4%
Braga
72.7%
44
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Nacional
1-2
Braga
Riascos (69')
Pedrao (59')
Fransergio (25'), Ruiz (29')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Braga
2-1
Nacional
Fransergio (28'), Medeiros (42')
Sequeira (76')
Borges (86')
Ramos (31'), Kal (36'), Freitas (70'), Azouni (89')
Jan 18, 2019 6.45pm
Nacional
0-3
Braga

Riascos (10'), Ferreira (72')
Horta (61'), Murilo (73'), Paulinho (86')
Santos (10'), Sousa (14')
Aug 12, 2018 8.30pm
Braga
4-2
Nacional
Sousa (4', 32'), Horta (48', 72')
Figueiras (71')
Rochez (23' pen., 37')
Cerqueira (15'), Jota (43'), Alhassan (81')
May 14, 2017 8.15pm
Braga
4-0
Nacional
Cesar (9' og.), Stojiljkovic (37', 42'), Neto (81')
Jorge (11'), Ferreira (88')

Goncalves (27'), Correia (56'), Jota (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!