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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
Braga

Vizela
0 - 4
Braga


Pereira (83'), Ortiz (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elmusrati (43'), Medeiros (49', 65'), Horta (75')
Elmusrati (81'), Djalo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Vizela
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-3 Braga

Buoyed by last week's victory over Estoril Praia, Vizela will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence and will be looking to build on that result. However, they take on a Braga side who have enjoyed a solid campaign and are pushing for a return to the Champions League. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Braga to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawBraga
31.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.65% (0.02 0.02) 43.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)49.79% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.084 -0.08)71.79% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)29.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.064 -0.06)66% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.88% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)56.62% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 31.01%
    Braga 43.34%
    Draw 25.64%
VizelaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 31.01%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Vizela vs Braga

Vizela
13.8%
Draw
10.3%
Braga
75.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 10, 2022 8.30pm
Vizela
0-1
Braga

Alvarado (50'), Fernandes (67'), Anderson (75')
Medeiros (39')
Carmo (6'), Horta (13'), Magalhaes (88'), Mineiro (90+1')
Oliveira (44')
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Braga
4-1
Vizela
Horta (27', 45' pen.), Silva (57'), Ruiz (90+3')
Moura (84')
Kouao (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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