Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
We said: Vizela 1-3 Braga
Buoyed by last week's victory over Estoril Praia, Vizela will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence and will be looking to build on that result. However, they take on a Braga side who have enjoyed a solid campaign and are pushing for a return to the Champions League. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Braga to come away with all three points in this one.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.34% . A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.44%) . The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%) . The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result Vizela Draw Braga 31.01% ( -0.01) 25.65% ( 0.02) 43.34% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.07% ( -0.07)
50.21% ( -0.09) 49.79% ( 0.09)
28.2% ( -0.08) 71.79% ( 0.08)
70.1% ( -0.05) 29.9% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34% ( -0.06) 66% ( 0.06)
77.12% ( -0.05) 22.88% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.38% ( -0.07) 56.62% ( 0.06)
Vizela 31.01%
Braga 43.34%
Draw 25.64%
Vizela Draw Braga 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.01% 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.34%
How you voted: Vizela vs Braga
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rhs 2.0
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