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Benfica
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
Braga

Vizela
0 - 4
Braga


Pereira (83'), Ortiz (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elmusrati (43'), Medeiros (49', 65'), Horta (75')
Elmusrati (81'), Djalo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Vizela
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-3 Braga

 Buoyed by last week's victory over Estoril Praia, Vizela will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence and will be looking to build on that result. However, they take on a Braga side who have enjoyed a solid campaign and are pushing for a return to the Champions League. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Braga to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawBraga
31.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.65% (0.02 0.02) 43.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)49.79% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.084 -0.08)71.79% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)29.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.064 -0.06)66% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.88% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)56.62% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 31.01%
    Braga 43.34%
    Draw 25.64%
VizelaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 31.01%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Vizela vs Braga

Vizela
13.8%
Draw
10.3%
Braga
75.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 8.30pm
Braga
2-0
Vizela
Oliveira (83'), Horta (90+5')

Guzzo (7')
Apr 10, 2022 8.30pm
Vizela
0-1
Braga

Alvarado (50'), Fernandes (67'), Anderson (75')
Medeiros (39')
Carmo (6'), Horta (13'), Magalhaes (88'), Mineiro (90+1')
Oliveira (44')
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Braga
4-1
Vizela
Horta (27', 45' pen.), Silva (57'), Ruiz (90+3')
Moura (84')
Kouao (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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