Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
39.72% ( -0.13) | 26.56% ( 0.06) | 33.71% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% ( -0.24) | 52.81% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% ( -0.2) | 74.44% ( 0.2) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.18) | 26.07% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -0.24) | 61.11% ( 0.24) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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