Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
63.72% ( 0) | 21.37% ( 0.03) | 14.91% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.86% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.94% ( -0.18) | 49.06% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.86% ( -0.17) | 71.14% ( 0.17) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.26% ( -0.06) | 14.74% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.04% ( -0.11) | 42.96% ( 0.11) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.96% ( -0.16) | 45.04% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.04% ( -0.13) | 80.96% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 63.7% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.36% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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