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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Rio Ave

Braga
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Bruma (36'), Banza (79')
Elmusrati (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Braga
Monday, February 27 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave

Having lost their last two matches, Braga will head into the weekend looking to arrest their slump and resume their push for an automatic Champions League qualification spot. Jorge's side have been near impenetrable on home turf in recent weeks and are tipping them to come away with their fifth straight league win at the Estadio Braga Municipal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
BragaDrawRio Ave
63.72% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.37% (0.029 0.03) 14.91% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.86% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.185 -0.18)49.06% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.168 -0.17)71.14% (0.17 0.17)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)14.74% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (-0.114 -0.11)42.96% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (-0.159 -0.16)45.04% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04% (-0.128 -0.13)80.96% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Braga 63.7%
    Rio Ave 14.91%
    Draw 21.36%
BragaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 12.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 63.7%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.36%
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.04% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 14.91%

How you voted: Braga vs Rio Ave

Braga
88.9%
Draw
3.7%
Rio Ave
7.4%
54
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 8.30pm
Rio Ave
2-3
Braga
Boateng (81'), Yakubu (87')
Elmusrati (11'), Medeiros (25'), Horta (69')
Silva (67')
Apr 17, 2021 8.30pm
Rio Ave
0-0
Braga

Augusto (35'), Amaral (41'), Aderlan (61')
Gelson (80')

Sequeira (30'), Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Goncalves (69')
Dec 22, 2020 8.15pm
Jun 30, 2020 9.30pm
Rio Ave
4-3
Braga
Taremi (35', 90+6' pen.), Santos (36'), Gelson (41')
Aderlan (57'), Tarantini (85')
Paulinho (21', 81'), Horta (27')
Esgaio (83'), Fransergio (89')
Rolando (90+2')
Dec 2, 2019 6.45pm
Braga
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (41'), Horta (80')
Sequeira (74'), Viana (88')

Vito (14'), Junio (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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