Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Sep 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Pina Manique
Casa Pia2 - 1Nacional
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Casa Pia and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 3-3 Nacional (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Nacional |
46.53% ( -0.06) | 25.62% ( -0) | 27.85% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
