We said: SC Farense 0-0 Casa Pia
Farense may find it difficult adjusting to life at the top again, and start the season against one of the Primeira Liga's most pragmatic outfits.
Goals were not Casa Pia's strong point last season, and not much has been done to address that over the summer, so a cagey opener could be on the cards.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.