Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
40.12% ( 0.48) | 27.01% ( 0.15) | 32.87% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 50.41% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.2% ( -0.73) | 54.79% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.9% ( -0.61) | 76.1% ( 0.61) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( -0.08) | 26.77% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( -0.1) | 62.05% ( 0.1) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.83% ( -0.78) | 31.16% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.5% ( -0.92) | 67.5% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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