Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
40.07% ( -0.01) | 27.5% ( -0) | 32.42% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.81% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.23% ( 0.02) | 56.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.29% ( 0.01) | 77.71% ( -0.01) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% ( -0) | 27.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.71% ( -0) | 63.29% ( 0) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.53% ( 0.02) | 32.47% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.01% ( 0.02) | 68.99% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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